失去中国市场后，日本水产品找不到替补

Core Viewpoint - China has suspended imports of Japanese seafood due to Japan's failure to provide promised technical materials regarding product safety, exacerbated by political tensions and public outrage in China following Japan's controversial statements on Taiwan [2][3]. Group 1: Impact on Japanese Seafood Exports - Japan's seafood exports to China have drastically declined, with the export value dropping from 871 billion yen (approximately 43 billion RMB) in 2022 to 320 billion yen in 2023, marking the largest decline since 1998 [3]. - The export of key seafood products such as crabs, salmon, and bonito has seen significant reductions, with declines of 90%, 88%, and 77% respectively [3]. - In 2024, the export value of Japanese seafood to China is projected to fall to approximately 61 billion yen, representing a decline of over 90% compared to 2022 [3]. Group 2: Market Diversification Efforts - Following the loss of its largest export market, Japan is actively seeking new markets in regions such as the U.S., Mexico, the Middle East, and Eastern Europe, as well as Southeast Asian countries like Thailand and Vietnam [4]. - Despite these efforts, the overall export of Japanese seafood is expected to decline by about 7.5% in 2024, from 3,901 billion yen in 2023 to approximately 3,609 billion yen [4]. Group 3: Challenges to Future Growth - The Japanese government had previously set ambitious export targets of 2 trillion yen by 2025 and 5 trillion yen by 2030 for the agricultural and seafood sectors, but these goals are now under significant threat [5]. - The imposition of a 15% tariff by the Trump administration on Japanese seafood has further complicated the situation, leading potential international buyers to reconsider their purchasing plans and seek alternatives from countries with lower or no tariffs [5].