智通财经网·2025-11-20 07:54Core Viewpoint - The report from Xingzheng International maintains a "Buy" rating for Longyuan Power (00916), highlighting revenue growth in Q3 2025 but a decline in net profit due to fluctuations in green electricity prices and high base effects from last year's disposal of thermal power assets [1] Performance Summary - In the first three quarters, Longyuan Power achieved operating revenue of 22.221 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.29%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.393 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 21.02%. Operating cash flow increased significantly by 53.33% to 15.784 billion yuan [1] - In Q3 alone, the company reported operating revenue of 6.564 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.98%, and net profit of 1.018 billion yuan, down 38.19%. The gross margin for Q3 was 34.91%, up 2.64 percentage points year-on-year but down 4.09 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] - The investment income for Q3 was -11 million yuan, compared to 514 million yuan in the same period last year due to the disposal of thermal power assets [1] Operational Data - In the first three quarters, the wind power utilization hours were 1511 hours, a decrease of 95 hours year-on-year. The newly installed wind and solar capacity was 1.13 million kW and 1.17 million kW, respectively, with a slowdown in growth [2] - The total electricity generation was 56.547 billion kWh, a slight decrease of 0.53% year-on-year. Excluding the impact of thermal power asset disposal, wind power generation increased by 5.30%, and solar power generation surged by 77.98% [2] - For Q3, wind power generation increased by 3.33% year-on-year, while solar power generation saw an impressive increase of 88.61% [2] Profit Forecast - Short-term performance is under pressure due to fluctuations in green electricity prices and high base effects from last year's thermal power asset disposal. However, the company’s offshore wind and large-scale projects are expected to support long-term growth [3] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 5.690 billion yuan, 6.130 billion yuan, and 6.592 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year change of -11.4%, +7.7%, and +7.5%, respectively [3] - The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios for the Hong Kong stock market as of November 18 are projected at 9.5x, 8.8x, and 8.2x for the respective years [3]