智通财经网·2025-11-20 08:37Core Viewpoint - Everbright Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Geely Automobile (00175) and raises the target price to HKD 26.01, citing strong revenue and profit growth in Q3 2025, driven by new models and successful privatization of Zeekr [1][4]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, Geely's total revenue increased by 26.5% year-on-year to CNY 239.48 billion, with a gross margin of 16.5%, up 0.3 percentage points. The core net profit rose by 59% to CNY 10.62 billion [1]. - For Q3 2025, total revenue grew by 26.1% year-on-year and 14.7% quarter-on-quarter to CNY 89.19 billion, with a gross margin of 16.6%. The net profit increased by 57.6% year-on-year and 5.6% quarter-on-quarter to CNY 3.82 billion [1]. Sales and Market Share - Geely's total sales in the first three quarters of 2025 rose by 45.7% year-on-year to 2.17 million units, with new energy vehicle sales accounting for 53.8%, up 17.2 percentage points [2]. - In Q3 2025, total sales increased by 42.5% year-on-year and 7.9% quarter-on-quarter to 761,000 units, with new energy vehicle sales making up 58.2% [2]. New Model Performance - The Galaxy series has shown strong sales performance, with a year-on-year increase of 205.6% in the first nine months of 2025. The company expects further growth with new models like Galaxy M9 and Zeekr 9X [2]. - The integration of Lynk & Co and Zeekr is yielding positive results, with expectations of further benefits post-privatization in 2026 [2]. Privatization and Global Expansion - The privatization of Zeekr is progressing smoothly, with no legal obstacles remaining, and is expected to be completed by the end of 2025 [3]. - Geely aims to enhance resource optimization and efficiency through the integration of Zeekr, with plans for global expansion, targeting over 1,000 overseas sales networks by 2026 and aiming for one million export units by 2027 [3]. Profit Forecast - The company has raised its net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 by 10%, 3%, and 6% respectively, now projecting CNY 17.74 billion, CNY 19.18 billion, and CNY 21.23 billion [4]. - The target price has been adjusted to HKD 26.01, corresponding to a 13.5x PE for 2025 [4].