Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-11-20 09:09Core Insights - Since 2025, the Hong Kong stock market, led by technology and innovative pharmaceuticals, has been on the rise, with the Hang Seng Technology Index reaching a recent high of 6715.46 on October 2, and the Hang Seng Index showing a gain of over 30% [1][3] - However, in less than two months, the Hang Seng Technology Index has experienced a continuous adjustment, with a maximum drawdown exceeding 15%, and a recent five-day losing streak [1][3] - Despite the market pullback, southbound capital has accelerated its inflow, with a net purchase exceeding 1.3 trillion HKD this year, and cumulative net inflow surpassing 5 trillion HKD, setting a historical record [1][7] Market Dynamics - The recent pullback in the Hong Kong stock market's technology sector is attributed to multiple factors, including persistent concerns over an "AI bubble," a cooling concept of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and escalating tariff conflicts, which have led to a systematic devaluation of technology stocks [3][4] - Additionally, as the year-end approaches, there is a shift in investment focus towards dividend-paying assets like banks and non-bank financials, rather than high-volatility technology stocks [4] Financial Performance - Nvidia's strong Q3 earnings report, showing a revenue of 57 billion USD (up 62% year-on-year) and a Q4 revenue outlook of approximately 65 billion USD, may help alleviate market concerns regarding the "AI bubble" [5] - Major Hong Kong technology companies have also reported robust Q3 earnings, indicating resilience in the face of global economic disruptions, with highlights including Tencent's revenue of 192.9 billion CNY (up 15%) and Xiaomi's revenue of 113.12 billion CNY (up 22.3%) [6][5] Investment Outlook - Looking ahead to 2026, several institutions remain optimistic about the mid-to-long-term prospects of the Hong Kong technology and internet sectors, driven by the AI wave and supportive policies [7] - The inflow of southbound capital is unprecedented, with insurance and public funds driving a dual strategy of "technology growth + high dividend yield" [7][8] - The Hang Seng Technology Index is currently at a historical low valuation, with a PE ratio of 23.09, significantly lower than the Nasdaq's 42.5, indicating a strong value proposition for long-term investors [9][8] ETF Performance - The inflow of funds has led to a rise in the scale of related ETFs, with the Hang Seng Technology Index ETF exceeding 46 billion CNY and the Hang Seng Internet ETF nearing 34 billion CNY [8][9] - The current market environment, characterized by improving liquidity and low valuations, presents a favorable opportunity for long-term investment in Hong Kong's technology sector [10]