以理富人 | 连续调整有点心慌，港股科技还能继续持有吗？

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in Hong Kong's technology stocks is attributed to short-term factors, but the long-term investment logic remains intact, suggesting continued value in the sector [2][4][13]. Group 1: Reasons for Recent Decline - The decline in Hong Kong technology stocks is influenced by multiple short-term factors, including hawkish signals from Federal Reserve officials, which dampened expectations for short-term interest rate cuts [2]. - The market is experiencing a lack of significant policy news as the year-end approaches, leading to a cautious attitude among investors, particularly in sectors that have seen substantial gains earlier in the year [2][3]. Group 2: Investment Logic and Fundamentals - Despite the recent downturn, the fundamentals of Hong Kong technology companies remain strong, with major firms in the internet and semiconductor sectors reporting stable earnings growth, exceeding expectations [4]. - The ongoing advancements in domestic AI models are expected to stimulate a new wave of AI applications, benefiting the related industry chain [4][5]. Group 3: Valuation and Market Position - The valuation of Hong Kong technology stocks remains attractive, with the Guotai Junan Hong Kong Technology Index trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.50, significantly lower than the over 40 times of the US Nasdaq index [5]. - The current valuation is at a historical low, positioned below the 62nd percentile of the past decade, indicating a favorable risk-reward scenario for investors [5]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Despite short-term volatility, "smart money" continues to flow into Hong Kong stocks, with net purchases from southbound funds exceeding 5 trillion HKD, marking a historical high [12]. - The overall investment logic supporting Hong Kong technology stocks has not fundamentally changed, suggesting that investors can maintain confidence and patience during market fluctuations [13].