就业报告姗姗来迟 美债收益率小幅走高

Core Insights - US Treasury yields rose slightly as investors awaited a delayed employment report, which is expected to provide key insights into the health of the US economy [1][3] Group 1: US Treasury Market - The yields on US Treasuries increased slightly, with the 2-year yield rising by 1.2 basis points to 3.61%, the 10-year yield up by 1.3 basis points to 4.146%, and the 30-year yield increasing by 0.3 basis points to 4.755% [1] - The delayed employment report, which combines October and November data due to a government shutdown, is anticipated to influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in December [3][4] Group 2: Federal Reserve and Economic Outlook - Analysts from Deutsche Bank noted that attention is shifting to the delayed September employment report, which could impact the likelihood of a rate cut in December, especially if the data shows weakness [4] - According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders estimate a 31% chance that the Federal Reserve will lower the benchmark overnight lending rate by 0.25 percentage points in December [5] Group 3: International Bond Markets - European bond yields rose, with the 10-year German bond yield increasing by 2.3 basis points to 2.734%, the 10-year Italian bond yield up by 3.5 basis points to 3.491%, and the 10-year French bond yield rising by 3.3 basis points to 3.496% [5] - In Japan, bond yields also rose, with the 2-year yield increasing by 3 basis points to 0.958% and the 10-year yield up by 5.6 basis points to 1.816% [7]