Core Viewpoint - HCI Group has experienced a significant decline in stock performance recently, raising questions about its near-term outlook amidst varying earnings estimates and revenue growth projections [2][18]. Earnings Estimates Revisions - For the current quarter, HCI Group is projected to report earnings of $4.87 per share, reflecting a substantial increase of +1471% year-over-year, with a 30-day change in the Zacks Consensus Estimate of +15.3% [5]. - The consensus earnings estimate for the current fiscal year stands at $20.29, indicating a year-over-year increase of +173.8%, with a 30-day change of +18.5% [5]. - For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate is $16, which represents a decrease of -21.2% compared to the previous year, with a slight 30-day increase of +2.3% [6]. Revenue Growth Forecast - The consensus sales estimate for the current quarter is $231.61 million, indicating a year-over-year increase of +43.1% [11]. - For the current fiscal year, the revenue estimate is $892.05 million, reflecting a growth of +18.9%, while the next fiscal year's estimate of $924.89 million indicates a more modest growth of +3.7% [11]. Last Reported Results and Surprise History - In the last reported quarter, HCI Group achieved revenues of $216.35 million, a year-over-year increase of +23.4%, and an EPS of $4.9 compared to $0.47 a year ago [12]. - The reported revenues were slightly below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $224.86 million, resulting in a revenue surprise of -3.79%, while the EPS exceeded expectations with a surprise of +100.82% [12][13]. Valuation - HCI Group is currently graded A in the Zacks Value Style Score, indicating that it is trading at a discount compared to its peers [17]. - The evaluation of valuation multiples such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF) is essential to determine if the stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued [15][16].
Is Trending Stock HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) a Buy Now?