Williams-Sonoma's Tariff Bill Is Set To Jump, Analyst Warns

Core Viewpoint - Williams-Sonoma Inc. reported strong quarterly performance but faced stock price decline due to concerns over increased tariff costs impacting future profitability [1][3]. Financial Performance - The company achieved consistent comparable sales growth, with a range of 3.4% to 4.0% over three consecutive quarters, indicating steady demand [2][3]. - Operating margins remained robust in the high teens, supported by disciplined cost control and strong full-price selling [2]. Tariff Impact - Tariff expenses were lower than anticipated in Q3 due to delays in increases, but a significant rise in tariffs is expected in Q4, with the blended tariff rate increasing to 35% from 6% year-over-year [4]. - The company has mitigated some tariff impacts through vendor concessions, sourcing shifts, supply-chain efficiencies, SG&A reductions, and selective price increases, although mild operating-margin pressure is still anticipated [4]. Future Outlook - The company maintained its 2025 revenue growth outlook of 0.5% to 3.5% and raised its operating margin forecast to 17.8% to 18.1% [6]. - Analysts have adjusted EPS estimates, with 2025 EPS projected at $8.73 and 2026 EPS at $9.05, reflecting conservative assumptions regarding rising tariffs [6]. Analyst Ratings - Telsey Advisory Group reaffirmed an Outperform rating but lowered the price target to $220 from $225, while TD Cowen also reiterated a Buy rating with a reduced price forecast of $210 from $225 [1][6]. Market Reaction - Following the earnings report, WSM shares experienced a slight decline of approximately 2%, attributed to tariff concerns rather than operational performance [3].