Vistra Stock Outlook: Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish?

Core Insights - Vistra Corp. is the largest competitive power generator in the U.S. with a market cap of $59.3 billion and a capacity of 41,000 megawatts, enough to power 20 million homes [1] - The company aims to cut emissions by 60% by 2030 and achieve net-zero emissions by 2050 [1] Stock Performance - Over the past 52 weeks, VST stock has increased nearly 19%, outperforming the S&P 500 Index's 12.3% gain [2] - Year-to-date, VST shares are up 26.5%, compared to the S&P 500's 12.5% increase [2] - VST has also outperformed the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU), which rose 11.6% in the same period [3] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Vistra's net income fell sharply to $652 million from $1.84 billion the previous year, primarily due to a $1.67 billion decline in unrealized mark-to-market gains and an outage at the Martin Lake Unit 1 [4] - The company has narrowed its 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance to between $5.7 billion and $5.9 billion [4] - Analysts expect VST's EPS for the fiscal year ending December 2025 to decline by 2% year-over-year to $6.86 [5] Analyst Ratings - Among 18 analysts covering the stock, the consensus rating is a "Strong Buy," with 15 "Strong Buy" ratings and three "Holds" [5] - The current configuration shows an improvement from three months ago, with 11 "Strong Buy" ratings [6] Price Target - BMO Capital's James Thalacker raised Vistra's price target to $245, maintaining an "Outperform" rating [7] - The mean price target of $242.76 indicates a potential upside of 39.2% from the current price, while the highest price target of $295 suggests a 69.1% upside [7]