Zheng Quan Shi Bao·2025-11-21 00:01Group 1: Federal Reserve and Interest Rate Expectations - The expectation for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has further decreased, with significant internal divisions among officials regarding the decision [1][4] - The CME "FedWatch" tool indicates a 29.8% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 70.2% [5] Group 2: Employment Data and Economic Indicators - The U.S. non-farm payroll report for September showed an increase of 119,000 jobs, significantly exceeding the expected 51,000, while the unemployment rate rose to 4.4%, the highest since October 2021 [3] - The Labor Department has decided to cancel the release of the October non-farm data and postpone the November report to December 16, limiting the Fed's access to recent employment data before the December meeting [3] Group 3: Market Reactions and Stock Performance - Major U.S. stock indices experienced declines, with the Nasdaq dropping 2.15% and the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index falling 3.26%, reflecting a broader downturn in Chinese concept stocks [1][2] - Large tech stocks also faced significant losses, with Nvidia down over 3%, AMD down over 7.8%, and Oracle down over 6%, indicating a negative sentiment in the tech sector [2]