Analysts Think This Tech Stock Will Power the Next Wave of Hyperscaler Growth. They Just Gave It a New Street-High Price Target.

Core Insights - Lumentum Holdings has received an "Outperform" rating from Mizuho with a price target of $290, highlighting its significant role in AI infrastructure development [1] - The company holds over 50% market share in indium phosphide lasers, essential for advanced AI servers [1] Market Trends - Analysts predict a transition from 400G and 800G bandwidth to 1.6T and 3.2T connections, driven by the limitations of copper cables, which will benefit Lumentum [2] - Lumentum's laser revenue is expected to more than double from approximately $1 billion in fiscal 2025 to $2.2 billion by fiscal 2028, constituting 54% of total revenue [2] Strategic Partnerships - Partnerships with major companies like Alphabet and Nvidia are expected to generate significant revenue, with an estimated additional $100 million per quarter from hyperscalers by fiscal 2027 and $50 million per quarter from Nvidia starting in fiscal 2026 [4][5] Financial Performance - Lumentum reported a 58% year-over-year revenue increase to $533 million in fiscal Q1, with operating margins expanding by 1,500 basis points [6] - The company anticipates fiscal Q2 sales to reach $650 million, achieving this milestone two quarters earlier than previously expected [6] Capacity Expansion - Improvements in manufacturing yields and throughput are projected to increase unit capacity by approximately 40% in the coming quarters [7] - The product mix is shifting towards higher-margin 200-gigabit EML lasers, expected to represent 10% of the mix by March 2026 [7]