光伏50ETF（159864）跌超4%，技术迭代与需求前景成焦点，回调或可布局

Core Insights - The photovoltaic (PV) industry is expected to see significant demand growth driven by the continuous advancement of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC 3.0) and global energy transition, with an anticipated addition of 250 GW of new installations in China by 2026 [1] - Market-oriented reforms in the electricity sector are favorable for the PV industry, as market price signals can alleviate power restriction issues and promote the revaluation of green energy assets [1] - The current capacity issues in the PV industry will ultimately need to be addressed through technological iterations, with silicon-perovskite tandem cells identified as a key future technology direction, achieving a laboratory efficiency of 34.6% [1] Industry Trends - The penetration rate of wind and solar power exceeding 15% will lead to a rapid increase in system costs, necessitating greater investment in grid infrastructure and flexible resources, with domestic grid investment projected to grow by 15.3% year-on-year in 2024 [1] - The evolution of new power systems will rely on market mechanisms and technological collaboration [1] Investment Insights - The Photovoltaic 50 ETF (159864) tracks the photovoltaic industry index (931151), which includes publicly listed companies involved in the manufacturing of silicon materials, solar cells, modules, inverters, and related equipment, reflecting the overall performance of the PV industry chain [1] - The photovoltaic industry index exhibits significant growth potential and policy-driven characteristics, effectively representing the development trends within the PV sector [1]