比特币，崩了！近40万人爆仓！

Core Viewpoint - The cryptocurrency market is experiencing significant declines, with Bitcoin dropping below $82,000, marking its lowest point since April 7, and a 24-hour loss of over $11,000, reflecting a decline of more than 9% [1]. Group 1: Bitcoin and Major Cryptocurrencies - Bitcoin reached a low of $81,111, with a current price of $83,973, down over 9% [1]. - Ethereum fell by 10.8%, while other cryptocurrencies like SOL, XRP, Dogecoin, and ADA saw declines of 11.7%, 10.5%, 11.6%, and 13.3% respectively [2][3]. - The total liquidation in the cryptocurrency market over the past 24 hours amounted to $1.914 billion, affecting approximately 392,000 traders, with long positions accounting for $1.78 billion of the liquidations [4][5]. Group 2: Economic Factors Influencing the Market - Analysts indicate that expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut have significantly cooled, alongside concerns about an artificial intelligence bubble, posing challenges for cryptocurrencies and risk assets as the year ends [6]. - The U.S. labor statistics report showed an unexpected increase in non-farm employment by 119,000 in September, leading to a rise in the unemployment rate to 4.4%, the highest since October 2021 [6]. - The market currently estimates a 42% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December [7]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Predictions - Cleveland Fed President warns that current financial conditions are "quite loose," suggesting that further rate cuts could exacerbate financial stability risks [8]. - Analysts predict Bitcoin's price is currently fragile, with estimates suggesting it could drop to $75,000 by year-end, as previous bullish drivers like rate cuts have failed to sustain upward momentum [8]. - The likelihood of Bitcoin falling below $90,000 by year-end has risen to 50%, with only a 30% chance of surpassing $100,000 by 2025 according to options market data [9].