Zheng Quan Shi Bao·2025-11-21 08:53Core Viewpoint - The recent data from the National Financial Regulatory Administration indicates a slight increase in both the non-performing loan (NPL) balance and the NPL ratio of commercial banks, while the market for transferring non-performing loans has seen significant growth this year [1] Group 1: Non-Performing Loan Market Trends - The scale of non-performing loan transfers has surged, with over 26 billion yuan in asset packages listed since November, and the total for the first half of 2025 expected to exceed 167 billion yuan, doubling from the same period in 2024 [1][2] - The issuance of asset-backed securities (ABS) for non-performing loans has surpassed 67.857 billion yuan this year, reflecting an increase of over 80% compared to the previous year [1] Group 2: Retail Loan Risks - There is a consensus in the industry that retail loan risks are becoming more apparent, with no signs of reaching a peak yet [1][6] - Major banks are increasingly transferring personal non-performing loans to improve asset quality and release capital [1][3] Group 3: Asset Transfer Dynamics - Banks are actively listing large amounts of non-performing assets, particularly in personal loans and credit card overdrafts, with significant amounts being transferred [2] - The trend of "discount promotions" for non-performing assets is growing, with some assets being sold for as little as 10% of their original value [4] Group 4: Retail Loan Quality Indicators - The non-performing loan ratio for retail loans is on the rise, with specific banks reporting increases in their personal loan NPL ratios [6][7] - The characteristics of retail loan risks include a higher default rate in consumer loans and credit card loans, while mortgage loans remain the most stable [6][7]