我国高中学龄人口2029年达峰 多地高中和中专可互相转学

Core Insights - The scale of primary school students has peaked in 2023, with junior high expected to peak in 2024 and senior high in 2029, indicating significant demographic shifts impacting the education sector [1] - In 2024, junior high enrollment is projected to increase by 941,200 students, marking four consecutive years of growth, while general high school enrollment will exceed 10 million for the first time, increasing by 684,000 students from the previous year [1] - The need for effective allocation of educational resources is critical to address the upcoming peaks in junior and senior high school populations [1] Enrollment Trends - The number of students enrolled in general high schools has been steadily increasing, surpassing 9 million in 2021 and reaching over 10 million in 2024, with a recorded admission rate of 61.02% [2] - The Ministry of Education has launched the "County-level General High School Revitalization Action Plan" to promote high-quality development in county-level high school education [2] Resource Allocation Strategies - The allocation of educational resources must consider the pressures before and after enrollment peaks, promoting resource sharing between primary and junior high schools [2] - New policies encourage the construction of comprehensive high schools that integrate general and vocational education, allowing students to choose their educational paths based on interests and abilities [3] Policy Developments - Shandong Province has introduced a mutual transfer policy between general high schools and vocational schools, effective January 1, 2026, allowing students to transfer within county jurisdictions [4] - Zhejiang Province has implemented a policy allowing mutual transfers between general and vocational students, providing three opportunities for transfer during specific academic periods [5]