What's The Downside Risk For RKLB Stock?

Core Insights - RKLB stock has experienced a significant decline of 33.3% over the past 21 trading days, primarily due to concerns surrounding the Neutron rocket program [2][3] - The inaugural launch of the Neutron rocket has been postponed from late 2025 to 2026, raising fears about short-term growth and increasing development costs [3] - The company's current valuation is considered very high, with a P/E ratio of -97.1 and a P/EBIT ratio of -102.0, indicating that the stock is relatively expensive [6][10] Company Performance - Rocket Lab is valued at $22 billion with a revenue of $504 million, showing a revenue growth of 54.4% over the last 12 months [10] - The operating margin stands at -44.1%, and the company has invested heavily in R&D, with expenditures amounting to $240 million, which exceeds its gross profit of $176 million [10] - Historically, the stock has shown a median return of 0.8% within a year following sharp declines since 2010 [10] Market Resilience - The stock has demonstrated slightly better performance than the S&P 500 during various economic downturns, both in terms of the extent of decline and recovery speed [7] - RKLB stock has previously dropped 82.8% from a peak of $20.72 in September 2021 to $3.56 in December 2022, but fully rebounded to its pre-crisis peak by November 2024 [11] - The stock is currently trading at $43.62, having reached a high of $69.27 on October 15, 2025 [11]