智能眼镜市场快速增长 明年有望迎来规模化拐点
Zheng Quan Shi Bao·2025-11-21 16:33

Core Insights - The smart glasses market, including XR and AI glasses, is experiencing strong growth driven by major tech companies like Baidu, Alibaba, and Xiaomi accelerating their investments and product launches [1][2] - IDC predicts that by 2025, the global shipment of smart glasses will reach 12.8 million units, with China leading the market [3][4] - The market is expected to undergo significant changes in product forms, interaction methods, and service models by 2026, marking a critical turning point for the industry [1][3] Market Growth - Baidu has re-entered the smart glasses market after 11 years with the launch of its Xiaodu AI Glass Pro, featuring multiple AI functionalities [2] - Tmall reports a 2500% year-on-year increase in sales for AI glasses as of October 30, while JD.com indicates a 346% increase during the "Double 11" shopping festival [2] - CINNO Research notes that the AR/VR industry saw 33 financing deals in Q3 2025, totaling approximately 5.5 billion yuan, driven by new AR device launches and AI technology integration [2] Technological Integration - The integration of AI and AR is seen as a key driver for the adoption of smart glasses, with AR glasses being the ideal platform for AI technology [3] - The average price of AI glasses is expected to remain around 1500 yuan, appealing to both tech enthusiasts and general consumers [3][4] - The development of Micro LED technology is crucial for the next generation of smart glasses, offering advantages such as high pixel density and low power consumption [6][7] Industry Dynamics - Companies are focusing on reducing costs and enhancing user experience to transition smart glasses from novelty to everyday use [4][8] - The cost structure of smart glasses is heavily influenced by hardware components, with hardware costs accounting for 80-85% of total expenses [4] - The industry is witnessing a shift towards lightweight AI glasses without displays, which are more affordable and can stimulate market growth [5][8] Future Outlook - The smart glasses market is expected to evolve through three stages: lightweight AI glasses, AI+AR single display, and ultimately AI+AR dual full-color display [5] - As optical and display technologies mature, the market for AR glasses is anticipated to expand, leading to a gradual "AR-ification" of AI glasses [5] - The integration of advanced technologies and user-centric design will be essential for the sustained growth of the smart glasses market [8]