Symbotic Set to Report Q4 Earnings: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?

Core Insights - Symbotic Inc. (SYM) is set to report its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on November 24, with revenue expectations of $600.2 million, reflecting a 4.1% year-over-year growth, and earnings estimated at 7 cents per share, indicating a 40% increase from the previous year [1] Financial Performance - The consensus estimate for SYM's revenues in Q4 is $600.2 million, with a year-over-year growth of 4.1% [1] - Earnings per share are projected at 7 cents, stable over the past 60 days, and representing a 40% increase from the same quarter last year [1] - SYM's earnings surprise history shows mixed results, with two earnings beats and two misses in the last four quarters, averaging a miss of 78.3% [2] Backlog and Revenue Drivers - SYM reported a backlog of $22.4 billion in Q3 of fiscal 2025, with expectations to recognize approximately 11% of remaining performance obligations as revenue in the next 12 months and 56% over the following 13-60 months [4] - The anticipated revenue for Q4 is projected to be between $590 million and $610 million, with adjusted EBITDA expected to range from $45 million to $49 million [5] Stock Performance and Valuation - SYM's stock has increased over 80% in the past six months, outperforming its industry peers [6] - Despite the stock surge, SYM is considered relatively overvalued, trading at a high forward price-to-sales ratio compared to industry averages and competitors [10] - The company holds a Value Score of F, while competitors Coherent and MediaAlpha have scores of C and A, respectively [10] Strategic Partnerships and Future Outlook - SYM's partnership with Nyobolt, focusing on autonomous mobile robots, is expected to enhance performance and durability in warehouse automation systems [15] - The company is positioned for substantial revenue generation in the near future due to its high backlog and potential margin expansion from increased system deployment [14]