Deere Ready to Report Q4 Earnings: Here's What to Expect for the Stock

Core Insights - Deere & Company (DE) is set to report its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on November 26, with earnings estimates showing a 12.9% decline year-over-year, while revenue estimates indicate a 7.7% increase [1][5] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Deere's earnings has decreased by 0.3% over the past 60 days to $3.96 per share, reflecting a downward trend [1][2] - The consensus estimate for revenues is projected at $9.99 billion, which represents a year-over-year increase of 7.7% [1] Earnings Surprise History - Deere has consistently beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimates in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 9.7% [2][3] Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for Deere, with an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [4] Segment Performance Expectations - The Production & Precision Agriculture segment is expected to generate revenues of $4.27 billion, a decrease of 0.8% year-over-year, with an operating profit of $714 million, up 8.6% from the previous year [9] - The Small Agriculture & Turf segment's revenues are estimated at $2.11 billion, reflecting an 8.6% decline, with an operating profit of $124 million, down 46.9% year-over-year [10] - The Construction & Forestry segment is projected to have sales of $3.29 billion, indicating a 23.7% increase, but with an operating profit expected to decline by 2.7% to $319 million [11] - The Financial Services segment's revenues are estimated at $1.55 billion, a 2% increase, with an operating profit projected at $218 million, down from $231 million in the prior year [12] Market Performance - Deere's stock has increased by 10.4% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 5.8% [13] Industry Context - Deere is facing challenges due to weak farmer spending amid low commodity prices, which is expected to impact its fiscal fourth-quarter performance [7] - High production and administrative expenses are likely to affect the company's margins, although favorable price realization may mitigate some of these challenges [8]