Do Wall Street Analysts Like Ulta Beauty Stock?

Core Insights - Ulta Beauty, Inc. is the largest specialty beauty retailer in the U.S. with a market cap of $22.7 billion, offering over 25,000 products from around 500 brands [1] Performance Overview - Over the past 52 weeks, ULTA stock has surged 45.4%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 Index which gained 12.3% [2] - Year-to-date, ULTA shares are up 14.4%, compared to the S&P 500's 12.9% increase [2] - ULTA has also outperformed the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund, which rose 4.2% in the same period [3] Financial Results - In Q2 2025, ULTA reported a profit of $5.78 per share and revenue of $2.79 billion, but shares fell 7.1% the following day due to a decline in operating margin to 12.4% and a 15.0% increase in SG&A expenses to $741.7 million [4] - Inventories surged 20.5% to $2.4 billion, and the company added $289.1 million in short-term debt for the Space NK acquisition [4] - Management expressed concerns about uncertain consumer demand in the second half of the year while raising full-year EPS guidance to $23.85–$24.30 [4] Analyst Expectations - For the fiscal year ending January 2026, analysts expect ULTA's EPS to decrease by 3.8% year-over-year to $24.37 [5] - The company has a strong earnings surprise history, beating consensus estimates in the last four quarters [5] - Among 25 analysts, the consensus rating is a "Moderate Buy," with 12 "Strong Buy" ratings, 2 "Moderate Buys," 10 "Holds," and 1 "Strong Sell" [5] Price Target Insights - UBS analyst Michael Lasser maintained a "Buy" rating on Ulta Beauty and raised the price target to $680, suggesting a 36.7% potential upside from the current price levels [7] - The mean price target of $589.48 represents an 18.5% premium to ULTA's current price [7]