Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish on Martin Marietta Materials Stock?

Company Overview - Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (MLM) has a market cap of approximately $36 billion and is a leading provider of natural resource-based building materials, including aggregates, cement, concrete, asphalt, and paving services, both in the U.S. and internationally [1] Stock Performance - Over the past 52 weeks, MLM shares have risen by over 2%, underperforming the S&P 500 Index, which gained 10.5%. However, on a year-to-date basis, MLM shares increased by 15.6%, surpassing the S&P 500's 11.2% return [2] - Compared to the Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB), which saw an 8.6% dip over the past 52 weeks, MLM shares have outperformed [3] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Martin Marietta reported adjusted EPS of $5.97 and revenue of $1.85 billion, which were weaker than expected. Despite this, shares rose nearly 1% on November 4. The company raised its full-year adjusted EBITDA forecast to a midpoint of $2.32 billion and reported an 8% increase in aggregates shipments, indicating strong demand and pricing supported by infrastructure spending and data-center-driven construction activity [4] Earnings Expectations - For the fiscal year ending December 2025, analysts project a 44.1% year-over-year decline in adjusted EPS to $18.11. The company's earnings surprise history is mixed, with two beats and two misses in the last four quarters. Among 21 analysts covering the stock, the consensus rating is a "Moderate Buy," consisting of 12 "Strong Buy" ratings, one "Moderate Buy," and eight "Holds" [5] Analyst Ratings - Stifel analyst Brian Brophy raised the price target for Martin Marietta to $681 while maintaining a "Buy" rating. The mean price target of $672.79 suggests a 12.7% premium to current price levels, while the highest price target of $754 indicates a potential upside of 26.3% [6]