A. O. Smith Stock Outlook: Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish?

Core Insights - A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS) has a market capitalization of $8.9 billion and specializes in manufacturing and marketing water heating and treatment products under various brands [1] Performance Overview - AOS shares have underperformed the broader market, declining 11.9% over the past 52 weeks, while the S&P 500 Index has gained 10.5% [2] - Year-to-date, AOS stock is down 7.3%, compared to an 11.2% increase in the S&P 500 [2] - AOS has also lagged behind the Invesco Global Water ETF, which gained 6.4% over the past 52 weeks [3] Recent Earnings Report - Following the Q3 earnings release, AOS shares fell 2.6% despite better-than-expected performance [4] - Total revenue for the quarter increased 4.4% year-over-year to $942.5 million, slightly exceeding consensus estimates [4] - Earnings per share (EPS) rose 14.6% from the previous year to $0.94, surpassing analyst expectations of $0.89 [4] Market Challenges - Sales in China decreased by nearly 12% in local currency year-over-year, with expectations of continued challenges in this market [5] - The company anticipates that a weakening new home construction market will negatively impact residential water heating in North America [5] - AOS has lowered its fiscal 2025 sales outlook to a projection of flat to up 1%, and adjusted its EPS outlook to a range of $3.70 to $3.85, which has affected investor confidence [5] Analyst Expectations - For the current fiscal year ending in December, analysts expect AOS' EPS to grow 1.6% year-over-year to $3.79 [6] - AOS has a mixed earnings surprise history, beating consensus estimates in three of the last four quarters [6] - Among 13 analysts covering the stock, the consensus rating is a "Moderate Buy," with four "Strong Buy," eight "Hold," and one "Strong Sell" rating [6]