Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish on Arthur J. Gallagher Stock?

Core Insights - Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) has a market capitalization of $63.5 billion and specializes in insurance and reinsurance brokerage, consulting, and risk management services [1] Performance Overview - AJG shares have underperformed the broader market, declining 16.4% over the past year, while the S&P 500 Index has increased by nearly 10.5% [2] - Year-to-date in 2025, AJG stock is down 12.9%, contrasting with the S&P 500's 11.2% rise [2] - Compared to the SPDR S&P Insurance ETF (KIE), which has declined about 2.2% over the past year, AJG's performance is notably weaker [3] Q3 Financial Results - In Q3, AJG reported an adjusted EPS of $2.32, missing Wall Street expectations of $2.51 [4] - The company's adjusted revenue was $3.3 billion, falling short of the $3.5 billion forecast [4] Earnings Expectations - For the current fiscal year ending in December, analysts expect AJG's EPS to grow by 7% to $10.80 on a diluted basis [5] - AJG has a mixed earnings surprise history, beating consensus estimates in two of the last four quarters [5] Analyst Ratings - Among 21 analysts covering AJG, the consensus rating is a "Moderate Buy," with 12 "Strong Buy" ratings and nine "Holds" [5] - The configuration has improved from two months ago, with 11 analysts now suggesting a "Strong Buy" [6] - Barclays PLC downgraded AJG to an "Underweight" rating with a price target of $250, indicating a potential upside of 1.1% from current levels [6] - The mean price target of $321.94 suggests a 30.2% premium to AJG's current price, while the highest price target of $388 indicates a potential upside of 56.9% [6]