Core Insights - Quantum technology is a strategic emerging field crucial for national information security, experiencing rapid market growth under national strategic guidance, with China's market size projected to grow from 4.523 billion yuan in 2015 to 13.104 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 12.55% [1][14] - Significant breakthroughs in quantum technology are anticipated globally in 2024, transitioning from theoretical research to practical applications, with advancements in quantum computing platforms and quantum communication systems [1][14] - The development of quantum technology is expected to drive the next technological revolution, providing new tools and perspectives for exploring the unknown [1][14] Industry Overview - Quantum technology integrates principles of quantum mechanics with information science, computing, and materials science, focusing on information acquisition, processing, and transmission through quantum effects [4][13] - The industry primarily encompasses three core areas: quantum computing, quantum communication, and quantum precision measurement [4][13] Industry Development History - The Chinese government has emphasized the importance of advancing quantum technology, with strategic planning and support increasing since 2020 [6][9] - Notable achievements include the successful development of the "Zu Chongzhi No. 3" quantum computing prototype in March 2025, positioning China among the global leaders in superconducting quantum computing [1][7] - Recent advancements include the establishment of a 300-kilometer quantum direct communication network, validating the feasibility of long-distance secure communication [1][7] Industry Policies - The Chinese government has prioritized quantum technology in its "14th Five-Year Plan," aiming to implement significant national projects in frontier fields like quantum information [9][10] - The upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan" is expected to further promote quantum technology as a new economic growth point, alongside other emerging industries [9][10] Industry Value Chain - The quantum technology industry chain includes upstream components and technology development, midstream core equipment and system development, and downstream applications across various sectors such as cloud computing, finance, and defense [10][11] Market Size and Trends - The global quantum technology market is projected to reach $8.02 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 10.77%, and is expected to grow to $11.93 billion by 2025 [13] - Quantum computing dominates the market, accounting for 64.92% of the total, with North America leading in technological breakthroughs and industry applications [13][14] Key Companies - Major players in the Chinese quantum technology sector include China Great Wall Technology Group, Keda Technology, State Grid Information Communication, and others, contributing to a diverse competitive landscape [2][16] - China Great Wall Technology has reported significant growth in its computing industry, achieving a revenue of 5.148 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.63% [16] - Wuhan Guangxun Technology focuses on optical electronic devices and has seen a substantial increase in revenue from its data and access business, growing by 149.16% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [16][17] Future Development Trends - Quantum computing is expected to overcome hardware performance bottlenecks, enhancing stability and developing new quantum bit architectures [17] - Quantum communication aims to establish broader and faster quantum key distribution networks, facilitating the construction of a future quantum internet [18] - Quantum measurement technology is anticipated to achieve significant precision improvements, expanding its applications in various fields [19]
研判2025!中国量子科技行业发展历程、政策、市场规模、重点企业及前景展望:量子科技应用前景广阔,行业规模增长潜力巨大[图]