日本发出“最强烈警告”！高市妄为之“祸”来了：日本将损失超2万亿日元，债券和日元遭抛售，大米鸡蛋价格涨不停，GDP负增长……

Group 1 - Japan's Prime Minister Sanna Takashi's remarks regarding Taiwan have severely damaged the political foundation of Sino-Japanese relations, leading to a significant decline in the atmosphere for personnel exchanges between the two countries. Economic experts in Japan estimate that a sharp reduction in Chinese tourist numbers could result in losses exceeding 2 trillion yen for Japan [1] - If the current state of Sino-Japanese relations persists for over a year, it could lead to a reduction of more than 2 trillion yen in Chinese tourist spending, which would have a substantial impact on Japan's tourism industry and local economies [1] - The Japanese government has approved a 21.3 trillion yen economic stimulus plan, which is the first major fiscal initiative under Prime Minister Takashi's administration. This plan includes 17.7 trillion yen in general account expenditures, marking a 27% increase from the previous year [21][24] Group 2 - The Japanese economy has entered a negative growth phase for the first time in six quarters, with a 0.4% decrease in real GDP for the third quarter of 2025, translating to an annualized decline of 1.8% [5][10] - Exports have seen a decline for the first time in six quarters, with a 1.2% drop in goods and services exports, largely attributed to increased tariffs imposed by the United States on Japanese automotive and manufacturing products [10][11] - Domestic demand has also been adversely affected, with private residential investment plummeting by 9.4%, nearly erasing the recovery gains made post-pandemic [10] Group 3 - The depreciation of the yen against the dollar has raised concerns, with the Japanese Finance Minister expressing worries about the rapid and one-sided decline of the yen, which has increased the cost of imported goods for households and small businesses [3] - The recent economic data has led to a significant sell-off in Japanese assets, with the 30-year government bond yield reaching a historical high, and the Nikkei 225 index erasing all gains since the new Prime Minister took office [5][13] - The market is reacting to the economic outlook, with the yen depreciating approximately 6% since the new administration took office, raising concerns about the credibility of Japan's fiscal policies [14][17] Group 4 - The tourism sector is facing a severe downturn, with over 540,000 flight cancellations to Japan since mid-November, leading to potential losses in the tourism industry amounting to trillions of yen [19][20] - Chinese tourists are a significant contributor to Japan's tourism revenue, accounting for approximately 30% of the total foreign travel spending in Japan, making the current decline particularly impactful [19] - The Japanese government has acknowledged that the optimistic economic forecasts are no longer sustainable, revising the GDP growth expectation for the fiscal year 2025 down from 1.2% to 0.7% [10][11]