Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic (PV) industry is experiencing a significant rebound after a prolonged downturn, with the PV index rising over 30% from July 1 to November 14 this year, indicating renewed investor interest and potential for recovery [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The PV index has increased by more than 30% from July 1 to November 14, with leading companies like Sungrow Power, Canadian Solar, and others showing strong performance [1]. - Notable funds, such as those managed by Guangfa Fund and HSBC Jintrust, have maintained significant positions in leading PV companies despite market fluctuations [2][3]. Group 2: Fund Manager Strategies - Some fund managers, like Zheng Chengran, have remained committed to the PV sector, anticipating a new upward cycle starting in early 2024, while others have reduced their exposure significantly [2][3]. - Fund managers are observing signs of improvement in the industry, with expectations of a recovery in profitability and valuation expansion across various segments, including PV, lithium batteries, and wind power [3]. Group 3: Industry Dynamics - The PV industry is undergoing a transformation with the "anti-involution" policy aimed at optimizing supply and guiding price recovery, which is expected to lead to a reduction in excess capacity and improved company performance [5][6]. - The price of polysilicon has rebounded from a low of 35,000 yuan/ton to over 50,000 yuan/ton, indicating a shift away from the previous cycle of losses [6][7]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The market is anticipated to enter a new growth cycle, driven by improvements in supply-demand dynamics and the potential for significant growth in global energy storage demand during the 14th Five-Year Plan [6][7]. - Fund managers are focusing on companies with competitive advantages that are likely to survive and thrive in the evolving market landscape, with an emphasis on the importance of stable pricing and actual improvements in profitability [7].
谁在黎明前转向 谁又在等天亮