越回调越买 超700亿元资金借道ETF逆市加仓

Core Viewpoint - Recent market adjustments have raised concerns, with significant declines in major indices and a collective pullback in previously high-performing sectors like AI, chips, and lithium batteries [1][2]. Market Performance - On November 21, the A-share market saw a substantial drop, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 2.45% to 3834.89 points, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext indices dropped by 3.41% and 4.02% respectively [1]. - Over the week from November 17 to November 21, the Shanghai Composite Index declined by 3.9%, and the Shenzhen Component fell by 5.03%, with several high-growth sectors experiencing declines exceeding 10% [2]. Fund Flows - Despite the market downturn, over 700 billion yuan flowed into stock ETFs, indicating a trend of buying on dips [2]. - On the day of the market drop (November 21), more than 400 billion yuan was invested in ETFs, with notable inflows into several major ETFs [2]. External Factors - Multiple fund companies attribute the market's recent decline to external factors, particularly the decreased expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December and rising concerns over an AI bubble [3][4]. - The U.S. job market data showed a paradox with strong job growth but rising unemployment, complicating the Fed's decision-making regarding interest rates [4]. Industry Insights - The cyclical and growth sectors have seen significant declines, with industries like non-ferrous metals, power equipment, and basic chemicals lagging behind, while consumer and financial sectors remained relatively stable [3]. - The AI sector's bubble concerns and the unclear direction of the Fed's monetary policy have contributed to the downturn in technology-related stocks [4]. Future Outlook - Several fund companies maintain a positive long-term outlook for Chinese assets, suggesting a "slow bull" market trend despite short-term volatility [5]. - The market is expected to remain strong in the short term due to ample liquidity and supportive technology policies, with potential for increased market activity driven by new capital inflows [5][6]. - Mid-term market strength may depend on macroeconomic policies and the performance of emerging technology sectors, with a focus on supply-demand dynamics in traditional industries [6].