广发证券全球首席经济学家沈明高: 以“科技资本”赋能新质生产力 破解科技金融规模化难题
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang·2025-11-23 23:42

Core Insights - The core challenge of technological financial innovation is transitioning from singular breakthroughs to scalable development, necessitating a financial ecosystem that can support a modern industrial system and foster globally competitive tech enterprises [1][2] Group 1: Technological Financial Innovation - Emphasis on the need for scaling from "1 to N" in technological financial innovation, with the "14th Five-Year Plan" highlighting the absence of replicable models for supporting new productive forces [1] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" suggests a framework for a modern industrial system, balancing the service of "technological industrialization" and "industrial technology" [1][2] - The essence of technological finance is "innovation capitalization," which requires converting technological innovation into capital returns to sustain future innovation cycles [1][2] Group 2: Challenges in Innovation Capitalization - Five major challenges to achieving innovation capitalization include non-standardization, unprofitability, light asset models, high uncertainty, and long cycles, which traditional financial services struggle to address [2] - The concept of "technology capital" is introduced, which should provide additional value alongside financial investment, encompassing understanding of technology, industry, pricing, risk management, and resource allocation [2] Group 3: Future Outlook and Recommendations - Artificial intelligence is identified as a "general technology" leading the fourth industrial revolution, with a critical window for adoption in the next 5-10 years [3] - The "smart manufacturing industry chain" is projected to become a new pillar of the economy, potentially rivaling real estate, with significant spillover effects [3] - A recommendation for the Greater Bay Area to establish a "1+N" industrial system centered around the smart manufacturing industry chain [3] Group 4: Risk Sharing Mechanism - The absence of a risk-sharing mechanism is identified as a barrier to meeting the investment needs of early-stage tech enterprises [3][4] - Suggestions include local governments establishing subordinate funds to absorb initial losses, thereby encouraging social capital to invest in early-stage and hard technology ventures [4]