记者观察 | 大象何以轮番“起舞”

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in stock prices of China's state-owned banks reflects a market reassessment of their "certainty" value as financial system stabilizers, driven by high dividends and robust asset quality [1][5][6] Group 1: Stock Performance - On November 21, China Bank's stock price rose over 2%, reaching a historical high, while Industrial and Commercial Bank also hit a new peak [1] - Agricultural Bank experienced a "14 consecutive days" rally, with stock prices consistently reaching new highs [1] Group 2: Dividend Strategy - State-owned banks are appealing to investors due to tangible returns, with plans for mid-term dividends being advanced to December, accelerating the dividend trend [2] - The six major banks are set to distribute a total of 204.657 billion yuan in dividends, accounting for nearly 80% of the total mid-term dividends among all listed banks [2] Group 3: Operational Stability - The competitive landscape in the banking sector has shifted from a focus on scale to a focus on quality, resilience, and business structure, highlighting the advantages of state-owned banks [3] - In the first three quarters, the six major banks reported a combined profit of 1.07 trillion yuan, with all net profits showing positive growth [3] Group 4: Business Structure - State-owned banks benefit from scale effects that provide them with bargaining power in credit issuance, and their diversified income structure helps mitigate the pressure from narrowing interest margins [4] Group 5: Market Positioning - The strong performance of state-owned bank stocks indicates a market revaluation of their role and value within the financial system [5][6] - The total assets of large commercial banks have increased by nearly 70% from 124.03 trillion yuan in Q1 2020 to 208.15 trillion yuan by Q3 this year, now representing 43.9% of the entire industry [5]