国盛证券:首予华领医药-B(02552)买入评级 全球GKA降糖赛道领军者
智通财经网·2025-11-24 03:45

Company Background - Hualing Pharmaceutical has been focused on developing glucose kinase activators (GKA) since 2003, with its first product, Daglitin, approved in 2022, marking the first GKA drug to be approved after decades of research failures [1][2] - The company successfully completed Phase II and Phase III clinical trials for Daglitin, leading to its approval by the National Medical Products Administration of China [1] Sales Growth and Commercialization - After taking over the commercialization rights from Bayer in 2025, the company expects rapid sales growth, with H1 2025 revenue projected at 217 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 110.17% [2] - The company received a one-time deferred income of 1.244 billion yuan from Bayer, resulting in a pre-tax profit of 1.184 billion yuan [2] Second-Generation GKA Development - The company is developing a second-generation GKA using sustained-release technology to extend the drug's action time in the body, with a clinical research application submitted to the FDA by the end of 2023 [3] - Early clinical data indicates that HM-002-1005 can quickly convert to Daglitin in the body, enhancing patient compliance and effectively controlling blood sugar within 24 hours [3] Profit Forecast - The company is considered a rare innovative drug stock in the Hong Kong market, with a strong sales team and a gradually forming pipeline of innovative drug products [4] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 543 million yuan, 862 million yuan, and 1.142 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 1.113 billion yuan, 77 million yuan, and 114 million yuan [4] - The initial coverage gives a reasonable valuation of 8.586 billion HKD for Hualing Pharmaceutical in 2025, with a "buy" rating [4]