油价今晚或迎年内第十跌，92号进入“6元时代”！

Core Viewpoint - The domestic refined oil prices are expected to experience their tenth decline of the year, with gasoline and diesel prices projected to drop by 70 yuan/ton and 65 yuan/ton respectively, leading to a new price era for gasoline in certain regions [1][2]. Group 1: Price Adjustments - The new round of price adjustments for refined oil will take effect on November 24, with gasoline and diesel prices expected to decrease by 0.05 yuan, 0.06 yuan, and 0.06 yuan per liter respectively [1]. - The average price of the crude oil varieties referenced for domestic refined oil pricing is currently at 61.68 USD/barrel, reflecting a change rate of -1.21% [1]. Group 2: Market Influences - The international oil market is facing a downward trend due to expectations of oversupply and reduced geopolitical risk premiums, as indicated by major energy agencies [2]. - The International Energy Agency has raised its forecast for oil supply surplus in 2026 to 4.09 million barrels per day, contributing to the bearish sentiment in the market [2][3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the international oil prices will maintain a volatile trend, with potential for further declines in domestic refined oil prices in the next adjustment cycle [3]. - Factors such as ongoing geopolitical tensions and trade disputes are expected to keep international crude oil prices under pressure, influencing future domestic pricing strategies [3].