Ferrari Down 17% in 3 Months - Is This a Buy-the-Dip Moment?

Core Insights - Ferrari N.V. has experienced a 17% decline in stock price over the last three months, contrasting with rising shares of major automakers like General Motors and Ford [1][9] - Despite the stock price drop, Ferrari's fundamental growth drivers remain strong, including visibility into future demand, industry-leading profit margins, and a unique business model focused on scarcity rather than volume [3][4] Financial Performance - Ferrari's third-quarter results showcased strong demand for the Purosangue model, contributing to a total of 3,401 units delivered, while maintaining production constraints to ensure rarity [5][6] - The company achieved an impressive EBITDA margin of 37.9% in Q3, significantly higher than typical margins reported by mass-market competitors [7][9] Strategic Approach - Ferrari's strategy emphasizes steady price increases, deepening personalization options, and tightly managing production to maintain scarcity, which has not negatively impacted demand even with a recent 10% price increase for some models [10] - The company has a clean financial structure with little debt and robust free cash flow, allowing for continued investment and shareholder rewards, including a €2 billion buyback program initiated in July 2022 [11][13] Product Pipeline and Market Position - Ferrari maintains a deep order book extending into 2027, supported by plans to launch four new models annually between 2026 and 2030, ensuring product freshness while preserving exclusivity [13] - The company's premium valuation compared to GM and Ford is justified by its pricing power, deep order visibility, high margins, and strong growth expectations, with projected earnings growth of 15.3% and 8.7% for 2025 and 2026 respectively [14][16] Conclusion - Despite recent stock price concerns, Ferrari's fundamentals indicate strong pricing strength, margin leadership, and a disciplined product strategy, positioning it as a durable and premium franchise in the luxury automotive sector [16][17]