MINT·2025-11-24 15:07Core Insights - Novo Nordisk's stock dropped 12.4% following the failure of its weight-loss drug Ozempic in Alzheimer's treatment trials, marking its lowest point since July 2021 [1][4] - The company has halted a planned one-year extension for studies assessing Ozempic's effectiveness in slowing Alzheimer's progression [1][4] - The failure of these trials significantly impacts Novo Nordisk's market position, especially as it faces stiff competition from Eli Lilly in the obesity and weight-loss market [2][9] Company Performance - Analysts estimated a 75% probability of failure for the trials involving 3,500 participants with mild Alzheimer's disease [2] - The failure of the trials is a setback for Novo Nordisk, which had high hopes for a revival under new CEO Mike Doustdar [2][10] - The company has lost its leading position in the obesity market to Eli Lilly, which has successfully launched competing drugs [2][9] Market Implications - The potential revenue from a successful Alzheimer's treatment could have reached $5 billion annually for Novo Nordisk, highlighting the significant market opportunity [8] - Despite the setback, the Alzheimer's drug development market remains lucrative, although notoriously challenging [8][10] - The complexities of Alzheimer's therapeutics continue to pose challenges for pharmaceutical companies, as advanced pathology makes it difficult to restore neural networks [7]