“春躁”行情有望提前演绎 险资增配权益资产“伺机而动”

Core Viewpoint - Despite recent market adjustments, insurance asset management institutions remain optimistic about future investment opportunities in the stock market, anticipating a potential early onset of the "spring rally" [1][2]. Market Conditions - Recent market adjustments are primarily reflections of external market fluctuations, including changing expectations regarding Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and concerns over the AI bubble in the US stock market [2]. - The fundamental market conditions have not changed significantly, with adjustments driven by shifts in funding, technology, sentiment, and expectations [2]. Investment Strategies - Insurance institutions are focusing on structural opportunities, particularly in dividend strategies within sectors such as finance, telecommunications, and transportation, while also identifying excess return opportunities in AI, new consumption, and innovative pharmaceuticals [2]. - Despite market pullbacks in November, insurance institutions have actively engaged in research, with over 70 institutions participating in more than 280 research activities, focusing on technology and pharmaceuticals [2]. Asset Allocation Trends - To address the challenges posed by a low-interest-rate environment, insurance institutions are consistently increasing their allocation to high-quality equity assets, with stock investment balances reaching approximately 2,086 billion and 34,124 billion for property and life insurance companies, respectively, marking increases of about 30.29% and 50.47% year-over-year [3]. - The proportion of equity asset allocation by insurance institutions has reached a relatively high level of 10%, benefiting from both market growth and increased allocation willingness [3]. Regulatory and Market Drivers - The continuous increase in equity asset allocation by insurance institutions is driven by supportive policies and asset-liability matching requirements, with regulatory encouragement for private fund establishment and risk factor optimization opening up market opportunities [4]. - As traditional fixed-income assets fail to meet liability cost requirements, increasing equity asset allocation has become a crucial strategy for insurance institutions to enhance investment returns [4].