MicroStrategy(US:MSTR) ZACKS·2025-11-24 20:06Core Insights - Strategy (MSTR) shares have declined 41.1% year to date (YTD), significantly underperforming the broader Zacks Finance sector's growth of 11.3% and the Zacks Financial-Miscellaneous Services industry's decline of 10.1% [1][6] - The stock's performance is adversely affected by high valuation concerns and Bitcoin's volatility, making it sensitive to the broader crypto-market downturn [2][6] Valuation Concerns - Strategy's forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio stands at 99.25X, which is substantially higher than the industry average of 2.92X, indicating significant overvaluation [4] - Key peers like Riot Platforms, CleanSpark, and Coinbase trade at much lower multiples, further highlighting Strategy's stretched valuation [4] Bitcoin Accumulation Strategy - As of October 26, 2025, Strategy holds approximately 640,808 BTC valued at nearly $71 billion, representing one of the largest corporate Bitcoin positions globally [8] - The company has generated a 26% BTC yield and nearly $12.9 billion in Bitcoin-related gains YTD, with a full-year BTC yield target of 30% for 2025 [8] Capital Raising Capacity - In Q3, Strategy raised approximately $5.1 billion in net proceeds through various equity-based financing programs, enhancing its liquidity for Bitcoin acquisitions [9] - From October 1 to October 26, the company generated an additional $89.5 million in net proceeds, demonstrating consistent capital inflows [10] Software Business Growth - Strategy's software revenues rose 10.9% in Q3, driven by increased demand for analytics solutions and customer adoption [11] - Subscription services surged 65.4% year over year, indicating a shift towards recurring, high-margin revenues, which enhances revenue stability [12] Earnings Guidance - Strategy reaffirmed its full-year outlook, projecting $80 per share for 2025, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings at $78.04 per share, a significant improvement from a loss of $15.73 per share over the past 30 days [16]