Core Viewpoint - The GBP/USD exchange rate is experiencing narrow fluctuations, currently reported at 1.3106, with a slight decline of 0.01% from the previous close, influenced by the stabilization of the USD index and anticipation of upcoming U.S. economic data [1] Group 1: Economic Indicators - The U.S. ADP report indicates weak employment figures, suggesting potential upward momentum for the GBP if subsequent data remains weak [1] - The U.K. retail sales data for October exceeded expectations, reducing market expectations for a Bank of England rate cut, which supports the GBP [1] - The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December has risen to 82.9%, putting downward pressure on the USD and benefiting the GBP [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis - The GBP is in a narrow consolidation phase, with short-term support at 1.3099 and potential upward movement towards 1.3115 and 1.3130 if key levels are maintained [2] - Current market liquidity is tightening, and a breakthrough at key resistance levels could trigger a trend [2] - Technical indicators are neutral to bullish, with RSI at 51 nearing strong territory, and MACD showing no signs of weakening [2]
汇市窄幅博弈 英国数据指引方向
Jin Tou Wang·2025-11-25 02:59