记者手记｜就业降温物价高企 美国经济“寒意”难消

Economic Overview - The U.S. economy is facing challenges due to the uncertainty brought by the Trump administration's tariff policies and the recent government shutdown, which lasted for 43 days [1] - The GDP data for the third quarter remains unclear due to the government shutdown, and the labor market is cooling while inflation pressures persist [1] Employment Data - The unemployment rate in September rose to 4.4%, the highest level since November 2021, despite the addition of 119,000 non-farm jobs, which exceeded market expectations [1] - A total of 470,000 individuals entered the labor market, contributing to the rise in the unemployment rate, indicating that high inflation is forcing people to seek employment [1] - The non-farm employment data for July and August was revised downwards, with July's figures adjusted from 79,000 to 72,000 and August's from 22,000 to a negative 4,000 [1] Consumer Sentiment - Consumer sentiment showed a slight improvement after the government shutdown, but individuals remain frustrated by high prices and declining incomes [2] - The University of Michigan's consumer confidence index fell to 51.0 in November, down from 53.6 in October, indicating a decline in consumer confidence [3] Economic Growth Predictions - The Philadelphia Federal Reserve's survey of 33 professional researchers predicts a median GDP growth rate of 1.1% for the fourth quarter, down from a previous estimate of 1.3% [3] - The forecast for the first quarter of the following year was also revised down from 1.9% to 1.6% [3] Consumer Behavior - The CEO of Kraft Heinz stated that consumer sentiment entering the holiday season is among the worst in decades, reflecting the economic challenges faced by consumers [3]