智通财经网·2025-11-25 03:03Core Viewpoints - The company's main business has passed its bottom, and the investment business is expected to yield returns, with the current stock price having a high margin of safety [1] - The company emphasizes shareholder returns, having announced a HKD 600 million shareholder return plan, with a current dividend yield (TTM) close to 9%, making it attractive [1] Group 1: Game Business - The company's game business is showing signs of stabilization and improvement, particularly with its core IP "Magic Domain" [2][3] - After strategic adjustments in Q4 2024, the revenue from "Magic Domain" is expected to continue its upward trend into 2026, with a new version of the game ready for launch pending approval [3] - The overall expectation is for the game business profits to see good growth by 2026, supported by cost reduction and efficiency measures [3] Group 2: Mynd.AI Business - The Mynd.AI business is focused on reducing losses and advancing AI+education initiatives, with a new product launch expected to drive revenue growth [4] - The integration of AI voice assistant technology aims to enhance classroom interaction, potentially leading to better educational outcomes [4] - The company anticipates reaching EBITDA breakeven for Mynd.AI by Q4 2025 and achieving profitability by 2026 [4] Group 3: Investment Business - The company has strategically invested in emerging sectors, including a 46% stake in Hangzhou Shuai Ku Network, which has shown strong revenue growth [5] - A strategic investment of USD 20 million in Rokid, a leading AR technology company, is expected to enhance revenue streams, with Rokid's sales showing significant growth [5] - The partnership with Zhongke Wenge aims to promote AI services internationally, further expanding the company's market reach [6] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has revised its EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 to HKD 0.78, 1.45, and 1.77 respectively, reflecting the stabilization of the game business and growth in the investment sector [7] - The estimated net profit for the game and application services business in 2026 is projected at HKD 870 million, with a valuation of HKD 8 billion based on an 8x PE ratio [7][8] - The Mynd.AI business is expected to generate revenue of HKD 1.95 billion in 2026, with a valuation of HKD 1.08 billion based on a 0.7x PS ratio [8]