记者手记丨就业降温物价高企 美国经济“寒意”难消

Economic Overview - The U.S. economy is experiencing a "chill" due to multiple uncertainties stemming from the Trump administration's tariff policies and ongoing high inflation [1] - The recent government shutdown lasting 43 days has delayed the release of key economic data, contributing to the overall economic uncertainty [2] Employment Data - The unemployment rate in the U.S. rose to 4.4% in September, the highest level since November 2021, despite the addition of 119,000 non-farm jobs, which exceeded market expectations [1] - A total of 470,000 individuals entered the labor market in September, which increased the unemployment rate, indicating that high inflation is forcing people to seek employment [1] - Revisions to previous employment data showed a downward adjustment for July and August, with non-farm job additions revised to 72,000 and a negative 4,000, respectively [1] Consumer Sentiment - Consumer sentiment has slightly improved following the end of the government shutdown, but concerns over high prices and declining incomes persist [2] - The University of Michigan's consumer confidence index fell to 51.0 in November, down from 53.6 in October, reflecting ongoing consumer frustration with financial burdens due to high inflation [2] Economic Growth Forecast - The Philadelphia Federal Reserve's survey of 33 professional researchers indicated a median forecast for U.S. real GDP growth of 1.1% for the fourth quarter, down from a previous estimate of 1.3% [2] - The forecast for the first quarter of the following year was also revised down from 1.9% to 1.6% [2] Industry Insights - The CEO of Kraft Heinz reported that U.S. consumer sentiment is at one of its lowest points in decades as the holiday season approaches [3]