Lumentum(US:LITE) 智通财经网·2025-11-25 06:23Core Viewpoint - Investment bank Needham raised the target price for telecom equipment company Lumentum (LITE.US) from $235 to $290, citing strong demand for lasers and reaffirming a "buy" rating, as Lumentum is becoming a key supplier in the AI optics race [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Lumentum's aggressive capacity expansion investments are expected to maintain its position as the largest commercial laser supplier in the cloud industry [1] - The company faces a global shortage of indium phosphide, electro-absorption modulated lasers, and continuous wave products, with the supply-demand gap in 2026 projected to be larger than in 2025 [1] - Lumentum's capacity is versatile, allowing it to adapt easily to EML or silicon photonic transceiver designs, which are gaining market share from VCSEL designs [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - In the data communication business, EML chip production for the global transceiver market is currently capacity-constrained, a situation expected to persist until the end of 2025 [1] - The high-speed transceiver market is forecasted to maintain a compound annual growth rate of over 30% from 2023 to 2028 [1] - Lumentum has begun shipping its acquired Cloud Light transceiver products to all three major hyperscale customers and plans to integrate its internal continuous wave lasers [1] Group 3: Financial Expectations - Lumentum is expected to deliver improved performance in revenue, margins, earnings, and cash flow as its main business segments stabilize, which should lead to a continued rise in its stock price [1]