Galaxy in Talks to Provide Liquidity for Polymarket and Kalshi as Trading Firms Jump Into Prediction Markets

Core Insights - Galaxy Digital is in discussions to become a liquidity provider for Polymarket and Kalshi, reflecting a trend of trading firms entering the prediction market space as adoption increases and compliance risks decrease [1][2][7] Group 1: Market Making and Liquidity - Galaxy Digital is experimenting with market-making on prediction markets, aiming to provide broader liquidity in the future [2] - The entry of institutional market makers like Galaxy could enhance market depth and reduce costs for users in a sector currently characterized by tight liquidity [3] - The presence of large market makers could facilitate arbitrage opportunities, addressing significant price divergences in prediction markets [4] Group 2: Institutional Interest and Historical Context - The prediction market sector is witnessing increased interest from institutional traders, with firms like Jump Trading and Alameda Research exploring opportunities similar to those in the cryptocurrency market prior to 2016 [5] - Kalshi has onboarded Susquehanna as its first major institutional market maker, indicating a shift towards institutional participation in prediction markets [5][8] Group 3: Regulatory Environment - Regulatory approvals have eased the entry of institutional trading desks into the prediction market space, enabling firms like Galaxy Digital to provide liquidity [7] - The regulatory landscape has significantly changed since 2022, when the CFTC ordered Polymarket to withdraw from the U.S., allowing for new partnerships and market-making opportunities [8]