How Low Can Oracle Stock Sink?

Core Insights - Oracle shares have decreased by 29.3% over the past 21 trading days, raising concerns about stagnant cloud profit margins and AI investment risks [2] - The company is valued at $566 billion with $59 billion in revenue, currently trading at $200.28, and reported a 9.7% revenue growth over the last 12 months with an operating margin of 31.6% [2] - Oracle's stock has shown resilience during past economic downturns, outperforming the S&P 500 in terms of decline extent and recovery speed [3] Financial Performance - Oracle's current valuation metrics include a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 45.5 and a price-to-EBIT (P/EBIT) ratio of 31.3 [5] - The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 and a cash-to-assets ratio of 0.06, indicating strong liquidity [2] Historical Stock Performance - During the 2022 inflation shock, Oracle stock experienced a 41.1% decline from a peak of $103.65 on December 15, 2021, to $61.07 on September 30, 2022, but fully rebounded by May 25, 2023 [6] - The stock fell 28.6% from a peak of $55.73 on February 12, 2020, to $39.80 on March 12, 2020, recovering to its pre-crisis peak by July 2, 2020 [6] - In the 2018 correction, Oracle stock saw a 19.2% decline from a peak of $52.97 on March 9, 2018, to $42.82 on June 20, 2018, and fully recovered by March 13, 2019 [7] - During the 2008 global financial crisis, the stock fell 41.1% from a peak of $23.52 on August 8, 2008, to $13.85 on March 9, 2009, but regained its pre-crisis high by December 18, 2009 [7]