Janus Henderson's Denny Fish on AI: We'll continue to see models ‘leapfrogging each other'
Youtube·2025-11-25 18:23

Core Insights - The technology sector is currently in a competitive race towards achieving artificial general intelligence, with major players like Google, Meta, Anthropic, OpenAI, and Microsoft all striving to advance their models [2] - Recent earnings reports from Nvidia and the launch of Gemini 3 indicate that scaling laws in GPU and TPU demand remain strong, suggesting continued growth in infrastructure needs for AI training [2][4] - The market may experience fluctuations, but the long-term outlook for infrastructure development remains positive, with hyperscalers increasing capital expenditure expectations [6] Industry Dynamics - The competition among tech companies is expected to lead to continuous advancements in AI models, with each iteration showing significant improvements [2] - Investors should be aware that a slowdown in model advancements could signal diminishing scaling laws, which would impact infrastructure demand [4] - The construction of data centers is subject to natural limitations, such as permitting and power availability, making the current infrastructure build more prolonged compared to past tech booms [6] Market Behavior - The market's reaction to earnings reports can be unpredictable, often reflecting prior expectations rather than the actual results [5] - Despite short-term market fluctuations, the demand for GPUs and TPUs remains high, with significant interest from multiple buyers for each unit produced [6]