Why Walmart Keeps Trouncing Target

Core Insights - Walmart and Target are the two largest multi-category retailers in the U.S., dominating the brick-and-mortar retail landscape [1][2] - Walmart significantly outpaces Target in scale, with a larger number of stores, a robust international presence, and being the world's largest retailer by revenue [2] - Despite Walmart's size, Target has occasionally outperformed it, particularly during the pandemic, but Walmart has since established a clear lead [3][4] Financial Performance - Walmart reported a 5.8% increase in overall revenue to $179.5 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $175.2 billion, with U.S. comparable sales rising 4.5% [7] - Target's comparable sales fell by 2.7%, leading to a 1.5% decline in overall revenue to $25.3 billion, which aligned with estimates [8] - Walmart's adjusted operating income increased by 8%, indicating margin expansion, while Target's operating margin decreased from 4.6% to 3.8% due to lower sales and increased markdowns [7][8] Market Dynamics - Both retailers acknowledged an "affordability crisis" in their earnings calls, with Walmart being stronger in groceries and essentials, while Target is more focused on discretionary items [5] - The stock performance of Walmart has more than doubled over the past three years, while Target's stock has nearly halved, highlighting a significant divergence in their market trajectories [4][5] Challenges for Target - Target has faced numerous challenges over the past three years, struggling to maintain momentum after the pandemic-driven growth period [9]