Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang·2025-11-26 02:02Core Insights - The lithium battery industry in China has shown significant production growth in 2025 compared to 2024, with domestic battery production reaching 170.6 GWh in October, a year-on-year increase of 50.84% and a month-on-month increase of 12.83% [1][2] - The production of lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cathode materials also increased, reaching 26.69 million tons in October, marking a year-on-year growth of 45.92% and a month-on-month growth of 8.36% [1][2] Production - In the first ten months of 2025, domestic battery and LFP cathode material production significantly exceeded the same period in 2024 [2] - The capacity utilization rate for LFP cathode materials was reported at 63.54%, surpassing the figures from 2024 [1][2] Pricing - Prices for key raw materials and battery cells have seen a moderate increase. As of November 21, 2025, industrial-grade lithium carbonate prices exceeded 92,400 CNY per ton, with a weekly increase of 10.13% [3] - The price of LFP (power type) reached 38,100 CNY per ton, with a weekly increase of 8.09% [3] - Lithium hexafluorophosphate prices rose from approximately 60,000 CNY per ton at the end of September to 160,000 CNY per ton by November 21, reflecting a weekly increase of 13.39% [3] Demand - Several provinces in China have introduced capacity price compensation mechanisms, with Heilongjiang Province aiming for over 6 GW of new energy storage installations by 2027 [4] - In October 2025, the monthly shipment of LFP batteries reached 67.5 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 43.62% and a month-on-month increase of 8.52%, marking a new high for the year [4] - The export volume of Chinese power batteries in October 2025 was 19.4 GWh, representing a year-on-year increase of 79.63% and a month-on-month increase of 10.23% [4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that are well-positioned in the power battery and energy storage sectors, particularly those with strong overseas layouts [5] - Companies to watch include CATL (300750.SZ), EVE Energy (300014.SZ), Xinwangda (300207.SZ), Hunan Youneng (301358.SZ), and Rongbai Technology (688005.SH) [5]