Xin Lang Ji Jin·2025-11-26 02:31Core Viewpoint - The agricultural, animal husbandry, and fishery sector continues to rise, with the only agricultural ETF (159275) showing a slight increase of 0.3% as of the report time, driven by gains in specific stocks within the sector [1][3]. Market Performance - The agricultural ETF (159275) opened with a steady upward trend, maintaining a price increase of 0.3% [1]. - Key stocks in the sector, such as Luo Niu Shan, Shen Nong Seed, and Hainan Rubber, have seen significant gains, with Luo Niu Shan rising over 5% and Shen Nong Seed increasing over 4% [1][2]. Price Trends - The price of live pigs has been declining, leading to losses for breeding companies. As of November 24, the average price of live pigs was 11.6 CNY/kg, down from 12.25 CNY/kg on September 30, marking a decrease of 0.65 CNY/kg [1][4]. - The price of piglets also fell to 21.21 CNY/kg, down 1.01 CNY/kg from 22.22 CNY/kg on September 30 [1]. Industry Outlook - Jiang Hai Securities suggests that due to policy adjustments and production cuts, the industry may experience accelerated capacity reduction, presenting potential investment opportunities in the pig breeding sector [3]. - The agricultural sector is currently at a favorable valuation point, with the agricultural ETF's price-to-book ratio at 2.56, which is at the 28.91% percentile over the past decade, indicating a good long-term investment opportunity [3]. Future Expectations - Zhongyou Securities anticipates that as the deadline for capacity reduction approaches, the pressure on breeding companies will increase, and the industry will continue to face losses, leading to a passive reduction in capacity [4]. - There is an expectation for a new upward trend in pig prices by the second half of next year, driven by various factors including seasonal impacts and policy adjustments [4]. Investment Opportunities - The agricultural ETF (159275) is highlighted as the only ETF tracking the agricultural index, with a significant focus on the pig breeding sector, which constitutes 40.25% of its holdings [5]. - Investors can also consider agricultural ETF linked funds to gain exposure to the agricultural sector [5].