10月光伏出口环比下滑,储能需求旺盛 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang·2025-11-26 03:02

Core Insights - The report indicates a mixed performance in the photovoltaic (PV) component production and pricing, with potential for recovery in profits if prices rebound [1][2][3] Production Summary - PV Component Production: As of November 2025, domestic PV component production is expected to be below 44.5 GW, with leading companies showing slight increases while most others are reducing output to clear inventory [1] - Battery Production: In November 2025, the production of power, storage, and consumer batteries in China is projected to reach 209 GWh, a month-on-month increase of 12.4% and a year-on-year increase of 64.6% [1] Pricing Summary - PV Pricing: As of November 21, 2025, the price of polysilicon remains stable at 52.00 CNY/kg, while the average price of 183N monocrystalline silicon wafers has decreased to 1.28 CNY/piece [1] - Energy Storage Pricing: In October 2025, the average bid price for lithium iron phosphate battery storage systems is 0.5547 CNY/Wh, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 10% [1] Demand Summary - Export Performance: In October 2025, the export value of PV components was approximately $2.258 billion, showing a year-on-year increase of 4.39% but a month-on-month decline of 19.34% [2] - Domestic Installation: In September 2025, the domestic PV installation capacity was 9.7 GW, a month-on-month increase of 31.3% but a year-on-year decrease of 53.8% [2] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on energy storage-related companies due to the significant year-on-year growth in storage project tenders, recommending companies such as Sungrow Power Supply (300274.SZ) and Nandu Power (300068.SZ) [3]