宏观扰动加剧，建议逢低做多贵金属

Investment Highlights - Precious Metals: Maintain a strong hold and await the next major uptrend. Precious metals continue to fluctuate, with volatility decreasing but remaining within a downward range. It is suggested to continue buying gold around $3950 per ounce, as the previous rapid price increase may lead to a 2-3 month consolidation period. The long-term trend of de-dollarization is expected to continue, and investors are advised to hold onto low-positioned assets despite volatility [1][2]. - Copper: Supply disruptions are expected to elevate the price center, with adjustments seen as buying opportunities. Copper prices have shown volatility, with LME copper prices declining. The rapid price increase since October, coupled with profit-taking after successful US-China talks and seasonal inventory accumulation, has led to high-level fluctuations. However, due to expected supply-demand tightness in 2026, adjustments are viewed as buying points [1][2]. - Aluminum: The end of the peak season sees rigid supply supporting price levels. LME aluminum prices fell by 2.29%. Although there are risks of inventory accumulation during the off-season, market sentiment improved after price declines. The aluminum price is expected to maintain high-level fluctuations, with long-term price stability anticipated due to potential supply disruptions from overseas power supply issues [2][3]. - Tin: Significant reduction in Indonesian tin ingot imports highlights medium to long-term investment opportunities. Tin prices have steadily increased, remaining above 290,000 yuan per ton, primarily due to a sharp decline in imports from Indonesia. The crackdown on illegal tin mining and the transfer of smelting plants to state-owned enterprises have significantly reduced exports, leading to a tightening supply situation [3]. - Lithium: Significant price adjustments in lithium suggest buying on dips. The price of lithium carbonate has experienced substantial fluctuations due to overheated trading in the futures market. The current market shows a cautious attitude from downstream enterprises, with only rigid demand driving small-scale purchases. The overall supply-demand situation remains robust, and the lithium price is expected to have limited downward adjustments [3]. Investment Recommendations - Companies to focus on include: Dazhong Mining, Guocheng Mining, Zhongkuang Resources, Shengda Resources, Xingye Silver Tin, Chifeng Gold, Zijin Gold International, Zhaojin Gold, Shenhuo Co., and Zijin Mining [4].