Group 1 - The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has lowered the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 2.25%, marking the lowest level in three years to support the nascent economic recovery [1][3] - The RBNZ's decision aligns with the majority of economists' predictions, emphasizing that the OCR reduction will bolster consumer and business confidence [1][3] - The RBNZ's forward guidance indicates an average OCR of 2.2% by the second quarter of next year, suggesting a 20% chance of further rate cuts [3][4] Group 2 - Since the beginning of the easing cycle in August 2024, the RBNZ has been one of the most aggressive rate cutters among its peers, reducing the OCR by a total of 325 basis points [4] - The RBNZ forecasts GDP growth to accelerate by 2.8% annually in the 12 months ending March 2027, compared to only 0.5% in the previous year [4][5] - Inflation is expected to decrease from the current 3% to 2.1% by the third quarter of next year, reaching 2% a year later [5]
宽松周期尾声将至？新西兰联储如期降息后纽元不降反升
智通财经网·2025-11-26 03:51