油价或迎年内“第十跌”，加满一箱可省2.5元

Core Viewpoint - Domestic refined oil retail prices are expected to experience the tenth decline of the year by November 24, driven by fluctuating oil prices and a recent unexpected decrease in U.S. crude oil inventories, alongside increased gasoline and distillate demand in the U.S. [2] Price Adjustments - The average price of the referenced crude oil varieties as of November 24 is $61.68 per barrel, with a change rate of -1.21%, leading to a reduction of 70 yuan per ton for gasoline and 65 yuan per ton for diesel [2] - The price adjustments will result in a decrease of approximately 0.05 yuan for 92-octane gasoline, 0.06 yuan for 95-octane gasoline, and 0.06 yuan for 0-octane diesel [2] - After the price adjustment, the national standard price for 92-octane gasoline in Zibo will be approximately 6.86 yuan per liter, while 95-octane gasoline will decrease to around 7.35 yuan per liter [2] Yearly Price Trends - The year-to-date adjustments in refined oil prices show a pattern of "7 increases, 10 decreases, and 6 unchanged," with cumulative reductions of 690 yuan per ton for gasoline and 660 yuan per ton for diesel [2] Cost Implications - For a typical family car with a 50L fuel tank, filling up with 92-octane gasoline will save consumers about 2.5 yuan [3] - For a small private car with a monthly mileage of 2000 kilometers and a fuel consumption of 8L per 100 kilometers, the fuel cost will decrease by approximately 4 yuan before the next price adjustment window [3] - In the logistics sector, a heavy truck running 10,000 kilometers monthly with a fuel consumption of 38L per 100 kilometers will see a reduction of around 114 yuan in fuel costs [3] Market Outlook - Future expectations suggest that ongoing negotiations in Eastern Europe may alleviate oil supply concerns, potentially leading to a weaker oil market amid international trade disputes and overcapacity predictions [3] - Analysts predict a high probability of further price reductions in the next round of refined oil price adjustments due to OPEC+ continuing to increase production and the Federal Reserve possibly pausing interest rate cuts [3] - The next price adjustment window is set to open on December 8, 2025, at 24:00 [3]